Are the 'American Idol' odds in Maddie Poppe’s favor? Not according to Vegas.
Wes Ehrecke, president of the Iowa Gaming Association, talks about plans to introduce a bill in the Iowa Legislature that would allow Iowans to legally bet on sports events if the U.S. Supreme Court rules favorably in a pending case.
There’s no doubt Iowa is placing bets on local girl Maddie Poppe to take home the title of “American Idol” Monday night — but Vegas disagrees.
Most sportsbooks have belting bombshell Gabby Barrett as the odds-on favorite to win Monday night. But, after a series of weak performances Sunday night, at least one oddsmaker is closing the gap between the Top 3.
"At this point, it's probably a three-way race, so were I to do the odds over, I would make them a little tighter," said Jim Murphy, a gambling expert and the "American Idol" odds maker for SportsBettingExperts.com.
Before Sunday's performances, SportsBettingExperts.com listed Barrett as a -200 favorite, meaning you’d have to risk $200 for the chance to win $100. It’s a bad bet because it’s an easy win; Vegas is saying America’s vote is likely to swing toward Barrett.
Betting on Poppe to win it all comes with a little more risk, according to many Vegas books.
But Murphy stressed that he would "shorten Maddie's odds" based on Sunday's songs.
"Gabby would be downgraded a little bit," Murphy said. "The odds are that it is a wide-open field now, but I think it is probably going to come down to one of the two girls."
He paused before adding: "Honestly, though, the best person at whatever the show is about seldom wins."
BetDSI listed Poppe as +300 to win, meaning if you risk $100, you could win $300 and profit $200. She's an even riskier option than country crooner Caleb Lee Hutchinson, who the site rated as a +200.
GetMoreSports.com gave Poppe a +400, a rating puts her ahead of Hutchinson, who the site listed as a +700.
SportsBettingExperts.com was a little kinder to Poppe, ranking her odds at +175, compared to Hutchinson’s +350.
But Poppe has momentum behind her. After impressing the judges and delivering solid performances, Poppe became a true come-from-behind story as far as sportsbooks goes.
At the time the Top 14 aired in April, SportsBettingExperts.com had Poppe listed with a +2500 rating, a true long-shot to win it all.
But, hey, even longer long-shots have brought home the W.
Regardless of how Poppe does, she's already won the chance to perform on the "American Idol Live" tour, which will crisscross the country this summer. The tour is not stopping in Iowa for some unknown reason, but Poppe and friends will take the stage on Aug. 23 in Omaha. More info is at AmericanIdolLive.com.
The "American Idol" finale airs at 8 p.m. Monday on ABC. Check your local listings for more.